The Unanswered · The Sandbox · World Cup 2026

The question
nobody
asked.

The World Cup 2026 coverage will tell you who won, who scored, and which manager made the wrong substitution. It will not tell you that some teams chose a base camp 2,000 kilometres from where the data said they should be — and what that decision cost them in the air before a ball was kicked.

The question isn't who travels the most. It's what the travel reveals about decisions made under conditions nobody analysed properly.

Who travels most? → Right base camp?
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The question

48 teams.
16 cities.
One continent.

For the first time, the World Cup spans three countries — the United States, Canada and Mexico — across a geography wider than any previous tournament. Every team chose a base camp and returns to it between every single game. The fixtures are fixed. The knockout paths are probabilistic. The distances are calculable.

That's the instrument. Define it first. Then see what it shows you.

What it shows you is that Austria — playing in San Francisco, Dallas and Kansas City — based themselves in Santa Barbara, California, adding nearly 10,000 km to their expected tournament travel compared to the optimal choice available. That Portugal put their camp in Palm Beach, Florida, for a schedule that pointed north and west. That France, somehow, got almost everything right.

None of this is in the pre-tournament analysis. It wasn't the question anyone was asking. That's the point.

48
Teams, all base camps confirmed
16
Host cities across 3 countries
495
Possible 3rd-place bracket combinations
6
Teams already at their optimal base
The two questions

Where it goes.

Two separate analyses. One dataset. The same methodology running without editorial interference.

Question 01
Who travels the most?
"The gap between the luckiest and unluckiest team is wider than you think."
Every team's expected travel distance, calculated from confirmed base camps across all group stage fixtures and every possible knockout path — weighted by the probability of finishing 1st, 2nd or 3rd. Sortable. Filterable. With a live route map for each team's three possible journeys.
Question 02
Right base camp?
"Austria should have been in Texas. Portugal had no business in Florida."
For each of the 48 teams, we recalculated expected travel from every other team's confirmed base camp — and found the optimal location within the real pool of FIFA-approved facilities. The result is a ranked table of who got it right, who got it badly wrong, and what the misjudgement cost them.
About
Chris
Kelly
Fractional CPO & CTO · Glasgow

The Sandbox is where the same methodology runs without a client brief. No commercial outcome. No softening. The question is defined, the instrument is built, and whatever it shows — it shows.

The World Cup 2026 project started as a single question about travel distances. The base camp analysis came from asking what the data implied about decisions that had already been made. That's the move every time: build the instrument first, then see what it reveals.

The main body of work — corporate failure, dental technology, British music — lives at The Unanswered.

"The frameworks that enterprise businesses spend millions getting wrong — built for founders, at the stage where they actually change everything."

Other Sandbox projects: No Guilty Pleasures (400 British acts, 70 years, scored by AI with no agenda), No Soft Opinions (1,188 films, every score arguable), The Field (300 wrestlers, 40 years, the buried careers), Eurovision (strip out the bloc voting, see what's left).

Every one of them starts the same way. The right question was always there. It just went unanswered.